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Prediction markets for Weinzierl

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.7%chance

11026681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4099

19

Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?

Jan 1, 2:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.5%chance

546149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

831

Will Python be replaced as the go-to programming language for AI development by the end of 2040?

Jan 5, 8:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.68%chance

463528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1811

685

Is gravity fundamentally quantum?

Jan 2, 8:52 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.36%chance

382836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1894

720

Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.12%chance

272100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1778

860

Will Type 1 Diabetes be cured by the end of 2040?

Dec 22, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

51.01%chance

231215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

737

Will GTA 7 release before the end of 2040?

Jan 7, 1:51 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47%chance

181038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

84

Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?

Jan 2, 9:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.12%chance

16562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

836

Will the matter-antimatter asymmetry problem be considered solved by the end of 2040?

Jan 3, 3:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.51%chance

17554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

955

Will the nature of dark energy be known by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.87%chance

19466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

969

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Dec 18, 3:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.96%chance

17440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

944

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