Wilkinson News

When will OpenAI release its first model with "X" in the name?

Mar 26, 9:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13632

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

After 2034 or never

2025

2034

At least one member of the Top Gear/Grand Tour trio (Clarkson, Hammond, May) passes away in 2025

Jan 18, 11:34 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

5%chance

9452

OptionVotes

YES

436

Lando Norris knighted by age 40?

Nov 23, 7:39 PMNov 13, 12:00 AM

33.17%chance

3190

OptionVotes

YES

142

Danny DeVito retires from acting or passes away before December 31st, 2025

Jan 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

11.68%chance

3175

OptionVotes

YES

275

ITP: Which drug(s) will increase median lifespan the most in males by 2030?

Dec 17, 8:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6143

OptionProbability

Sotagliflozin

Metformin + Rapamycin

Sotagliflozin + Rapamycin + Taurine + Semaglutide + Deuterium + Melatonin + Acarbose + 17alpha-estradiol

Empagliflozin + Rapamycin

Canagliflozin + Rapamycin

Sotagliflozin + Metformin + Rapamycin + Taurine + Tirzepatide

Other

Semaglutide + Rapamycin

Canagliflozin

17α-estradiol

Taurine

Rapamycin (alone)

Acarbose

Astaxanthin

Atorvastatin + Telmisartan

Aspirin

Will Sadiq Khan be nominated as a candidate for the Labour Party leadership before 2030?

Dec 20, 11:11 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

31%chance

3106

OptionVotes

YES

149

Wilkinson News

Prediction markets for Wilkinson

Prediction markets for Wilkinson

Prediction markets for Wilkinson

When will OpenAI release its first model with "X" in the name?

At least one member of the Top Gear/Grand Tour trio (Clarkson, Hammond, May) passes away in 2025

Lando Norris knighted by age 40?

Danny DeVito retires from acting or passes away before December 31st, 2025

ITP: Which drug(s) will increase median lifespan the most in males by 2030?

Will Sadiq Khan be nominated as a candidate for the Labour Party leadership before 2030?

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