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Prediction markets for Wilks

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

May 15, 1:19 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

73.6%chance

18053773

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1970

1202

Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?

Sep 8, 12:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.49%chance

566667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2532

395

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

May 29, 2:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

35.33%chance

334940

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

748

Will SLS be cancelled before 2026?

Nov 13, 3:56 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

11.46%chance

213910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2918

252

Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?

Sep 8, 12:29 AMMar 31, 3:59 PM

12%chance

61935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

119

Who will win the 2027 Rugby World Cup?

Oct 31, 5:12 AMSep 30, 3:59 PM

6184

OptionProbability

South Africa

New Zealand

Ireland

France

England

Other

Argentina

23

21

17

15

14

6

3

How many Head Coaches will leave their jobs in the 2025 NFL Season?

May 13, 2:54 AMMar 13, 11:59 PM

00

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

NFL 2025 - Which position will win Defensive Rookie of the Year?

May 13, 2:41 AMFeb 28, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

DT

Edge

LB

CB

S

20

20

20

20

20

Who will be the 2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year?

May 13, 2:46 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Ja'Marr Chase

Saquon Barkley

Jahmyr Gibbs

Derrick Henry

Other

20

20

20

20

20

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