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Prediction markets for Will Richard

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

68.47%chance

6813447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1559

237

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

Will Richard Dawkins ever convert to faith?

Aug 14, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.51%chance

234461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5241

191

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Feynman to 2026 end

Sep 29, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.2%chance

332080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

654

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

221991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

952

Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?

Oct 11, 5:34 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

35.2%chance

17361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

930

Will Richard Craib's Numerai achieve a market cap of $1 billion before 2026?

Dec 6, 11:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.7%chance

3230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

863

When will Mick Jagger and Keith Richards die?

Mar 24, 7:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2185

OptionProbability

2029 or earlier

2030 to 2039

2040 to 2049

2050 to 2059

2060 to 2069

2070 or later

26

26

19

12

8

8

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Sep 29, 12:47 PMOct 7, 3:59 AM

24.88%chance

8153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

138

In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?

Mar 30, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64%chance

12141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

952

Will Richard Hanania and David Shor become friends in 2025?

Nov 11, 4:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.12%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will Richard hananias live in or around Washington DC at the end of 2026?

Jun 7, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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