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Prediction markets for Winston Peters

Conditional on Effective Altruism lasting for a thousand years, will EAs still say that this was their finest hour?

Nov 19, 5:04 AMNov 19, 5:01 AM

37.2%chance

424179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

669

Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?

Oct 31, 10:37 PMNov 1, 10:59 AM

212732

OptionProbability

David Seymour

Christopher Luxon

Chlöe Swarbrick

Debbie Ngarewa-Packer

Rawiri Waititi

Winston Peters

Marama Davidson

Chris Hipkins

James Shaw

92

89

84

83

80

68

57

37

1

Will Winston Peters retire before the next election (likely 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

10.83%chance

5197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

40

Will Winston Peters retire?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

59.41%chance

10170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

137

Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

Nov 28, 1:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

61.45%chance

586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

133

Will Winston Peters hold the balance of power in the next election?

Jun 20, 12:35 AMOct 31, 10:59 AM

50%chance

210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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