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Xu News
Prediction markets for Xu
Prediction markets for Xu
Will the alleged proof of P!=NP by Ke Xu and Guangyan Zhou be recognized as valid by 2050?
Apr 16, 1:47 PM
Apr 23, 8:59 PM
8.31%
chance
32
12454
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1484
895
axusus (Andrew Xu) makes MOP 2026?
May 9, 1:11 AM
Apr 20, 10:59 PM
3.86%
chance
26
10345
Option
Votes
YES
NO
499
20
Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?
Oct 29, 3:47 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10.96%
chance
29
3407
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2409
671
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
Jun 11, 5:40 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
66.78%
chance
28
2822
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1418
705
Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?
Oct 20, 7:33 PM
Oct 21, 3:59 AM
31.23%
chance
14
2358
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1627
398
Will the problem of heuristic arguments still be an open problem by 2026?
Nov 22, 4:38 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
73.99%
chance
15
481
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1289
824
Will Axusus (Andrew Xu) make USACO platinum in December
Jun 26, 11:46 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
6.04%
chance
3
320
Option
Votes
YES
NO
394
25
Will I become a Candidate Master on Codeforces by EOY 2025?
May 15, 5:11 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.1%
chance
8
271
Option
Votes
YES
NO
213
47
Will Pangdonglai announce plans to build supermarkets outside of Xuchang before 2030?
Dec 8, 11:31 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
67.57%
chance
2
28
Option
Votes
NO
YES
92
55
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