Yaccarino News

UK has a queen again

USA adds 52nd state

President with Green Eyes elected

Room temperature superconductor discovered

24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th

Olympics hosted in Japan again

ChatGPT 10 releases

RSA-2048 cracked

Crewed mission to Phobos

Harlem Globetrotters lose again

2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases

Batman enters the public domain

The Beatles music enters the public domain

19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar

Norway Bans Whaling

African company or country lands on moon

Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B

Olympics hosted in Africa

Japan Bans Whaling

Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M

Longest suspension bridge record broken

Pokemon Card sells for $10M

First hispanic USA president

End support date for Windows 12

Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle

Pickleball in the Olympics

Team Fortress 3 releases

ChatGPT 7 releases

human dies on the moon

Grand Theft Auto 7 releases

Human walks on mars

The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake

The first $10T market cap company

Chicago ends on Broadway

First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

USA Adds 51st state

USA fully ends embargo on Cuba

Superman enters the public domain

Iceland Bans Whaling

The version after Windows 12 releases

Centennial Lightbulb burns out

Underwater hold breath world record broken

Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

Destiny retires from regular streaming

Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds

Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time

Peppa Pig ends

EU reaches 30 member states

First female USA president

Windows 11 end support date

Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases

India hosts the Olympics

Blood Meridian movie release

marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA

Star Citizen releases or company ceases

Family Guy ends

Civilization 8 releases

Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again

ChatGPT 6 releases

South Park ends

Manifold reaches 20K MAU

1500 Pokemon Released

Xi no longer in power in China

Simpsons ends

First Trillionaire (USD)

Bugs Bunny enters public domain

1300 Pokemon Released

Manifold reaches 40K MAU

USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched

Trump Dies

James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases

Human walks on moon again

Price of gold hits $5000/oz

Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

Putin no longer in power in Russia

Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken

Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

One piece manga ends

a USA president impeached again

Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

Human runs official marathon under 2h

Skibidi Toilet ends

The first $5T market cap company

Half Life 3 releases

Sagrada Familia Church completed

Another MLB perfect game pitched

Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

Shrek 5 releases

Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

USA discontinues or changes penny coin

Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

Death Stranding 2 releases

First $100B revenue media franchise

New Pope after Francis

Civilization 7 releases

Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less

Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship

Other

Elon Musk

Nikita Bier

Sriram Krishnan

Mahmoud Reza Banki

Ged Tarpey

Grok 4

Shivon Zilis

Sheryl Sandberg

@EmmettShear

Steve Davis

Maurizio Barbieri

Mrbeast

@kache

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Donald Trump Jr

Omead Afshar

Jason Calacanis

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Tim Cook at Apple

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Elon Musk at Tesla

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Sundar Pichai at Google

Mary Barra at General Motors

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Doug McMillon at Walmart

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Bob Iger at Disney

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Pat Gelsinger at Intel

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

@JamesGrugett - Manifold Markets - 2024

@JamesGrugett - Manifold Markets - 2025

Linda Yaccarino - X/Twitter - 2025

Warren Buffett - Berkshire Hathaway - 2025

Elon Musk - Tesla - 2025

Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2025

Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2024

Elon Musk - Tesla - 2024

Linda Yaccarino - X/Twitter - 2024

Warren Buffett - Berkshire Hathaway - 2024

Large Tech company announces layoffs

Pope Francis dies

New Pope

Tesla catches fire reported by news or https://www.tesla-fire.com/

Three or more teslas catch fire as reported by the Tesla-fire website (or multiple mainstream news)

Nintendo Direct airs

bitcoin reaches a new all time high

joseph anderson releases his long awaited witcher 3 video

new iphone releases

elon musk has another child

Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude

A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding

Dutch coalition resigns

gpt 5 released

New CEO of Twitter

Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

Trump or Biden are hospitalized for any period of time

Skate 4 Release

6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states

Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)

spacex makes >=150 launches in 1 year, all in 2025

White House goes under lockdown for any period of time

any country starts a new invasion of another country

at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)

Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital

MLB World Series won by the National League team

Russia : Ukraine ceasefire

MLB World Series won by the American League team

official trailer releases for S&box (new facepunch / garry mod game)

there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice

hollow knight silksong releases

Assassination of an African head of state

Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone

Skibidi Toilet ends their original series

reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

a twitter account besides elon musk reaches 200M followers

Imu face reveal in One Piece

Starliner program terminated

Taylor Swift becomes engaged to be married (to anyone)

Assassination of a North American or South American head of state

Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce

grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa

Aberdeen Football Club are top of the Scottish Premiership table

Trump threatens to deport Musk

Donald Trump diagnosed with COVID-19

chris (strutheo) leaves Manifold and this market is resolved by the @mods

Joe Biden dies

Bitcoin hits $200k USD

23andMe goes private

Alan's Conservative Countdown to AGI reaches 100%

H5N1 pandemic declared

tiktok USA company sale is signed and finalized

The same city wins at least two of the Super Bowl, NBA Finals, Stanley Cup, and World Series

USA government shutdown

nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)

commercial airline hijacking

destiny talks to joe rogan

Assassination of a European or Asian head of state

Bitcoin closes higher on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2025) than it closed on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2024) [EST] ***

Total funding for the Effective Altruism movement grows >25% compared to 2023

Donald Trump dies

Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel

MrBeast hits 500 Million subscribers

North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death

AI wipes out humanity

Vivek Ramaswamy comes out as LGBTQ

bitcoin drops down and reaches 30k or less

Musk : Zuckerberg fight actually happens

Vladimir Putin dies

Chat GPT 6 releases

Spider Man beyond the Spiderverse releases after the delay from March 2024

LK99 or another room temperature superconductor causes another wave of mainstream global news hype

linda yaccarino still ceo of twitter at end of year

YES