Yan News
Prediction markets for Yan
Will Yann LeCun remain chief AI scientist at Meta until 2026?
Mar 11, 12:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
65.23%chance
8218409
OptionVotes
961
828
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
59
52
52
44
44
44
42
42
41
40
40
40
40
37
35
35
35
35
35
35
34
28
28
26
23
22
21
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
16
16
14
14
13
11
8
0
0
Yang's 2025 predictions: Will at least one member of Congress or the Senate declare him or herself to be an Independent?
Dec 31, 2:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.12%chance
285038
OptionVotes
4304
232
Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?
Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.97%chance
152709
OptionVotes
940
722
By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?
Dec 16, 1:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
6.22%chance
232534
OptionVotes
2371
829
Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028
Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.57%chance
142271
OptionVotes
2900
809
Will Russia control the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station by 2026?
Sep 7, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.3%chance
81651
OptionVotes
235
43
Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
53.02%chance
171315
OptionVotes
1475
958
OptionProbability
82
81
81
80
73
70
69
67
66
61
23
19
OptionVotes
1026
927
What TV shows/stations will get yanked due to Trump? (add answers)
Sep 18, 7:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
9384
OptionProbability
35
34
23
20
20
10
5
4
Will the Yankees, Dodgers or Angels get an official mascot by the end of 2026?
Feb 22, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.77%chance
4100
OptionVotes
179
56