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Prediction markets for Yann

Will Yann LeCun remain chief AI scientist at Meta until 2026?

Mar 11, 12:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.17%chance

497844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

948

852

Yann LeCun out of Meta by EOY 2025?

Jul 2, 2:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.49%chance

185430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1911

523

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

262614

OptionProbability

Other

[None - Position will cease to exist]

Mira Murati

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Greg Brockman

Bret Taylor

Larry Summers

Adam D'Angelo

Andrej Karpathy

Eric Schmidt

Paul Graham

Peter Thiel

Wojciech Zaremba

Ben Horowitz

Jessica Livingston

Marc Benioff

Sheryl Sandberg

Tim Cook

John Doerr

Reed Hastings

Fei Fei Lee

Alexander Wang

George Hotz

Brad Lightcap

Bob Mcgrew

Peter Welinder

Jason Kwon

Mark Chen

Helen Toner

Ilya Sutskever

Emmett Shear

Dario Amodei

Satya Nadela

Jeff Bezos

Demis Hassabis

Robin Li

Clément Delangue

Lila Ibrahim

Alex Karp

Reid Hoffman

Raquel Urtasun

Marc Andreessen

Aidan Gomez

Sandra Rivera

Gary Marcus

Jaime Teevan

Sundar Pichai

Jack Clark

Anna Makanju

Shane Legg

Andrew Ng

Pushmeet Kohli

Yann LeCun

Mark Zuckerberg

Yoshua Bengio

Hinton

Marissa Mayer

Spencer Rascoff

Garry Tan

51

12

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

Dec 16, 1:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.29%chance

181632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

904

Yann LeCun leaves Meta by mid 2027

May 24, 1:51 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

49.87%chance

91118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

997

Will Yann LeCun have a cameo role saving humanity from the Daleks in Doctor Who (series 15)

Nov 6, 1:44 PMOct 1, 5:59 AM

1.76%chance

101025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

635

40

Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.67%chance

12166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

961

Will Yann LeCun hire bodyguards by 2030

Feb 11, 6:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.34%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

Will jurgen schmidhuber, Sam Altman, or Yann lecun be crucified for the sins committed by ALL AGI researchers?

Jan 22, 10:51 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

Will Juergen Schmidhuber outlive Yann LeCun?

Aug 28, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Yoshua Bengio outlive Yann LeCun?

Aug 28, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Do you respect Yann LeCun's views on AI since 2022?

Jan 20, 3:21 PM

1100

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