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Yann LeCun News

Greatest AI Researcher of All Time

Jul 18, 5:37 AMJan 1, 6:37 AM

4811575

OptionProbability

Other

Geoffrey Hinton

Ilya Sutskever

Noam Shazeer

Alec Radford

Daniel Hillis

Ben Goertzle

Alan Turing

Andrej Karpathy

Yann LeCun

Demis Hassabis

Paul Christiano

Charles Babbage

Jürgen Schmidhuber

John Schulman

Noam Brown

Liang Wenfeng

Alex Krizhevsky

Donald Knuth

George Boole

Kaiming He

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Marvin Minsky

Judea Pearl

Raymond Solomonoff

Yoshua Bengio

Andrew Ng

Fei-Fei Li

Dario Amodei

David Silver

@jim

24

19

11

8

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If AGI has an okay outcome, which researcher first publicised the agenda that was most responsible?

Jul 24, 7:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

287407

OptionProbability

Other

Ben Goertzel

Krantz Hanzinpantz

Daniel Hillis

Doug Lenat

Paul Christiano

John Wentworth

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Janus

Alex Turner

Evan Hubinger

davidad

Buck Shlegeris

Vanessa Kosoy

Jan Leike

Ilya Sutskever

Yann LeCun

60

5

5

5

5

4

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

273011

OptionProbability

Other

[None - Position will cease to exist]

Mira Murati

Elon Musk

Greg Brockman

Sam Altman

Bret Taylor

Larry Summers

Adam D'Angelo

Andrej Karpathy

Eric Schmidt

Paul Graham

Peter Thiel

Wojciech Zaremba

Ben Horowitz

Jessica Livingston

Marc Benioff

Sheryl Sandberg

Tim Cook

John Doerr

Reed Hastings

Fei Fei Lee

Alexander Wang

George Hotz

Brad Lightcap

Bob Mcgrew

Peter Welinder

Jason Kwon

Mark Chen

Helen Toner

Ilya Sutskever

Emmett Shear

Dario Amodei

Satya Nadela

Jeff Bezos

Demis Hassabis

Robin Li

Clément Delangue

Lila Ibrahim

Alex Karp

Reid Hoffman

Raquel Urtasun

Marc Andreessen

Aidan Gomez

Sandra Rivera

Gary Marcus

Jaime Teevan

Sundar Pichai

Jack Clark

Anna Makanju

Shane Legg

Andrew Ng

Pushmeet Kohli

Yann LeCun

Mark Zuckerberg

Yoshua Bengio

Hinton

Marissa Mayer

Spencer Rascoff

Garry Tan

52

12

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

Dec 16, 1:05 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.05%chance

232762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

825

Yann LeCun's AMI (props)

Mar 10, 8:36 PMMar 10, 8:36 PM

5988

OptionProbability

AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange

Raises next funding round above $5B valuation by Mar 31, 2027

Releases open-source world model code by Dec 31, 2026

Headcount exceeds 150 employees by Dec 31, 2026

Announces revenue partnership beyond Nabla by Sep 30, 2026

60

41

40

20

10

Will Yann LeCun be Yann LeCun again? (2020-2030)

Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

15386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

927

Will Yann LeCun hire bodyguards by 2030

Feb 11, 6:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.34%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

82

Will jurgen schmidhuber, Sam Altman, or Yann lecun be crucified for the sins committed by ALL AGI researchers?

Jan 22, 10:51 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

95

53

Will Yoshua Bengio outlive Yann LeCun?

Aug 28, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Juergen Schmidhuber outlive Yann LeCun?

Aug 28, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Do you respect Yann LeCun's views on AI since 2022?

Jan 20, 3:21 PM

1110

Will Elon Litman end up working for Yann LeCun?

Feb 22, 12:41 AM

10

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