Yass News

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Jun 21, 5:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

4.92%chance

3110485

OptionVotes

YES

3583

686

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.66%chance

649205

OptionVotes

YES

1673

633

Who will be the owner of TikTok at the end of 2025?

Mar 20, 12:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

446426

OptionProbability

Bytedance

Oracle

Larry Ellison (and investors)

Silver Lake

Other

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

232894

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Brave Browser

Anytype

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

Flutter

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

X.com

roblox

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Feb 24, 7:17 AMJun 30, 12:01 PM

3.22%chance

172490

OptionVotes

YES

2825

853

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

16.61%chance

121651

OptionVotes

YES

207

200

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

43.19%chance

211000

OptionVotes

YES

1165

694

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

30818

OptionVotes

YES

1515

922

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Jan 16, 12:46 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

8234

OptionProbability

Other

Tom Zhu

Me!

Drew Baglino

Vaibhav Taneja

JB Straubel

Zachary Kirkhorn

Robyn Denholm

Omead Afshar

Ashok Elluswamy

Yassop Stock

May 8, 10:45 AMMay 8, 10:59 PM

4189

OptionProbability

YES

193

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Apr 18, 7:23 PMDec 31, 6:23 PM

20.75%chance

9189

OptionVotes

YES

261

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

Jan 11, 6:22 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

33.63%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

119

Yass News

Prediction markets for Yass

Prediction markets for Yass

Prediction markets for Yass

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Who will be the owner of TikTok at the end of 2025?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Yassop Stock

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

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