OptionProbability
Saar Wilf
Alina Chan
Yuri Deigin
Zeynep Tufecki
Nate Silver
Jesse Bloom
Sam Harris
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Zvi Mowshowitz
Matt Yglesias
Scott Aaronson
Richard Hanania
Ralph Baric
Kristian Andersen
Michael Worobey
Scott Alexander
74
72
66
61
60
50
45
38
37
34
31
24
OptionVotes
YES
NO
124
80
