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Prediction markets for Zhu

Will Evan McMullen (@gnomicperfect) meet Luca Rade, Alex Zhu, or Valerie Zhang by 2030

Sep 23, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.45%chance

2210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

291

34

Will Zanda Zhu remain in Masters after Season 40?

Aug 2, 3:09 PMAug 30, 10:59 PM

57%chance

5153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

49

Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?

Sep 21, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.03%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

35

Will Eric Zhu of aviato (@ericzhu105) get someone pregnant by EOY2030?

Oct 19, 2:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will the solution to the AI alignment problem involve making ALL of Alex "zhukeepa Zhu's dreams/wishlists COME TRUE?

Apr 26, 1:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will Barton Rhodes or Alex Zhu watch the crucifixion of Jesus Christ while high on psychedelics by EOY2045

Oct 3, 8:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Alex Zhu achieve at least Stage7 jhana by EOY2029?

Jul 22, 10:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028

Jun 11, 5:34 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Henry Bass, Alex Zhu, cassox, Anjan Katta, Sam Bernstein, or Luca Rade get to meet jay gunkelman OR cayden pierce?

Sep 21, 6:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Fanfic of dante Divine comedy featuring aellagirl, Alex Zhu, repligate, qiaochu yuan, yacine, and basedbeffjezos by 2028

Jun 11, 5:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the book Alex Zhu (@zhukeepa) and the Sorcerer's Stone be written by EOY2045?

Sep 24, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029

Jun 11, 7:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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