Over the last 20 days, we have generally seen the S&P index outperform the signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment. The S&P has outperformed the model by +4.5% cumulatively during the period. https://t.co/POHJAdZeyG
Ahead of the NY Open, our cross-asset model indicates a +0.01% gain for the S&P (while futures are up +0.73% since prior close). The signal from Global Equities is most bullish (+0.15%), while the signal from FX is least bullish (-0.17%). https://t.co/I9nzOuAWGN
Oh boy. We're seeing the most stretched positioning in over a year, according to Goldman's Sentiment Indicator. ⚠️ https://t.co/w3lYvcJZju










Recent analysis from Citi indicates that the S&P 500 is experiencing extreme bullish positioning, which may pose risks to the market's upside in the coming weeks. Currently, a significant portion of this positioning is on the long side, suggesting that investors are speculating on further gains rather than hedging against potential downturns. This has created a scenario of heightened left tail risk should a downside catalyst emerge. Despite investor caution, bullish sentiment remains strong, with more investors placing bullish bets on equities and bearish positions on bonds over the past month. Notably, the S&P 500 has outperformed global assets correlated to risk sentiment, showing a cumulative outperformance of 4.5% over the last 20 days. As of the latest data, the S&P is projected to gain 0.01% ahead of the New York market opening, with futures up 0.73% since the previous close.