Jul 1, 10:28 AM

Goldman Sachs Says S&P 500 Strength Likely to Peak After Mid-July

Flow specialists at Goldman Sachs expect the S&P 500 to build on its recent advance in the first half of July, supported by improved liquidity, declining volatility and waning recession concerns. The bank told clients that historical patterns, coupled with roughly $80 billion of projected global equity demand, point to further gains before momentum tapers off in August. Seasonality data underpin the call. Since 1928 the benchmark has delivered an average July gain of about 1.7%, the highest of any month, and has finished higher 80% of the time since 2005. The index has not posted a negative July since 2014 and has already risen roughly 25% from its April lows. Goldman nonetheless cautions that profit-taking and a packed economic-data calendar could curb the rally as summer progresses.

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Written with ChatGPT .