
Recent trends indicate a substantial shift in investor preferences over the past two months, with a notable increase in the ratio of consumer staples stocks to consumer discretionary stocks. This ratio has risen from a multi-year low to a multi-month high, suggesting a defensive positioning among investors. Over the past year, consumer discretionary stocks have gained 10%, while consumer staples have outperformed with a 13.9% increase. Growth stocks are facing significant challenges, with value stocks in staples, pharmaceuticals, and telecommunications gaining traction. The S&P 500 index has seen declines of over 2.5%, yet 213 of its 500 constituent stocks have risen on the same day, indicating a complex market environment. Defensive sectors, particularly consumer staples and healthcare, have shown resilience, with consumer staples only 2% below their all-time highs, while consumer discretionary and technology sectors are experiencing corrections, down 16% and 11%, respectively.
Defensive sectors have been holding up this year: Staples’ drawdown from its ATH is 2% and Health Care just 4% below its record; in contrast, both Cons Disc and Tech are in correction territory, with drawdowns of 16% and 11%, respectively @SPDJIndices https://t.co/wlUmhqCD8M
Equal weight Consumer Discretionary relative to Consumer Staples has been leading the SPX and says much lower levels to come. To show how this is still a massive hedge fund pain rotation, with SPX down >2.5%, 213 of 500 stocks are up on the day! https://t.co/qRajYxogFl
Growth stocks getting shellacked. Value stocks, particularly in staples, pharma, telecom, catching a very firm bid. Not looking good for most investors in 2025 unless this recent trend reverses soon.


