
Market analysts are expressing concerns about potential risks to the bull market as 2025 approaches. Jeff deGraaf from Renaissance highlighted that market sentiment could pose a threat, while Ed Yardeni noted a possible pullback due to an excess of bullish sentiment. Recent data indicates that 43% of individual investors believe a market crash is unlikely in the next six months, the highest percentage recorded. This sentiment of complacency has doubled over the past two years as the market has rallied. Additionally, leveraged long bets have surged to a record ratio of 10 to 1 against shorts, surpassing the previous high of 6 to 1 seen before the 2021 market collapse. Analysts are warning that the current exuberance and extreme valuations could signal a need for caution as the market enters 2025.


🚨INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS HAVE NEVER BEEN MORE BULLISH🚨 Asset managers, leveraged funds and other investors LONG positioning in the S&P 500 exceeded 240,000 contracts, the most on record. This is DOUBLE before the bear market started in 2022. 👇 https://t.co/CLOnsa8Um1
The market rally may experience a hiccup in the beginning of 2025 as signs of froth are appearing in the market. “For the here and now, there may be too many charged up bulls,” Yardeni wrote in a Thursday note.
Leveraged long bets exceed shorts by a record ratio of 10 to 1. Previous record high was 6 to 1. Which we saw near the end of 2021. Right before all markets collapsed following an epic bull. Probably won’t happen again though. This time is different. Up only. https://t.co/2cgioe26fD