
The first half of 2025 marked one of the weakest performances for the S&P 500 in decades, with the index gaining only about 5%. In contrast, global equities outside the U.S. outperformed significantly, with the MSCI World Excluding USA index rallying 17%, resulting in a 12 percentage point outperformance over the S&P 500 — the largest margin in 26 years. European equities led year-to-date gains, supported partly by the euro's appreciation against the U.S. dollar and multiple expansions, with the Europe ETF (VGK) up approximately 9.3% in euro terms, closely matching the S&P 500's 7.3% gain in dollar terms. Despite the broader underperformance of the U.S. market, the S&P 493 index outperformed the so-called Magnificent 7 stocks in the first half of 2025. Since the market bottom on April 8, the U.S. technology sector (XLK) has experienced a sharp V-shaped recovery, rising over 43%, far exceeding the S&P 500's 26.5% gain over the same period, marking one of the largest short-term rallies in history. Additionally, stocks without earnings in the Russell 3000 have averaged gains of 36% since April 8, with some companies more than tripling in value, indicating a risk-on market sentiment. Precious metals like gold and silver have led year-to-date returns with gains around 25%, although recent momentum has shifted toward technology, communications, and financial sectors as investors assess whether this strength will persist into the third quarter.
Wild stat… Since April 8th stock market bottom, the 858 Russell 3000 stocks w/ *no* earnings have since posted avg gains of 36%. 10 of those companies have more than tripled. S&P 500 up 26%. *Risk on* via @jackpitcher20 https://t.co/mTl0FKadfj
Midyear Momentum Check 🔥 Gold and silver still lead YTD (+25%) but rotation is underway. Tech, Comms, and Financials have taken the lead over the last month. Now we find out if short-term strength becomes Q3 conviction. https://t.co/EmBAjKFIr2
YTD $SPY 7.3% $VGK Europe ETF in euro terms +9.3% Pretty close. @StockCharts https://t.co/RxSz1UQx3U






