On May 12, 2025, U.S. stock markets experienced strong gains ahead of the open, with Nasdaq futures rising nearly 4% and S&P 500 futures increasing by more than 3%. The Nasdaq index itself surged over 4%, and the S&P 500 advanced 3.3%, reflecting heightened risk-on sentiment among investors. However, Bitcoin diverged from this trend, declining by approximately 2.2% and falling below $101,000. Despite the stock market strength, Bitcoin's price showed bearish signals, including RSI divergence on the four-hour chart, suggesting a potential correction following a 10% rally in the previous week. Analysts noted that Bitcoin's recent price behavior reflects a hybrid investment profile, acting both as digital gold and a risk asset. While U.S. Treasury yields rose and expectations for rate cuts diminished, these macroeconomic factors did not negatively impact equities. On-chain data indicated no large-scale Bitcoin sell-offs, and exchange reserves of Bitcoin slightly decreased, implying an absence of systemic risk. In currency markets, gold declined by 3%, the U.S. dollar strengthened against the euro and yen by 1% and 2% respectively, and Bitcoin's performance since the previous Friday's stock close was flat in USD terms but positive against the euro and yen.
今天美股大幅上涨(纳指涨超4%,标普涨3.3%),风险情绪高涨,但Bitcoin却逆势下跌2.2%,最低跌破101,000美元,显得格格不入。宏观面并无明显利空,美债收益率虽上升、降息预期削弱,但美股照样强势,且链上数据未显示有大量抛售,交易所 $BTC 存量反而略降,表明并无系统性风险。 https://t.co/DbIxxb5xe2 https://t.co/2Rnt04hwC1
🇺🇸 U.S. STOCKS ARE PUMPING HARD BUT BITCOIN IS DUMPING ?? Let me explain, 1. Bitcoin price is showing Bearish RSI divergence on 4 hr and waiting for correction after it jumped 10% in last week. 2. Bitcoin price has given good return against Equity in last one month when https://t.co/Pd3m4cJbyO
Bitcoin's recent investment profile is a combination of digital gold + risk asset. Today gold is -3%, U.S. stocks are +3%, USD/Euro is +1%, USD/Yen is +2%. Bitcoin, since Friday's stock close, is 0% in USD terms, +1% in Euro, and +2% in Yen. I'll take it.