
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA) has been trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 25 for the past eight months, with analysts projecting earnings per share (EPS) of around $6 for the calendar year 2026. This valuation suggests that the stock price may be capped at approximately $150. Analysts indicate that about 90% of NVIDIA's value is linked to earnings expected after 2030, making long-term growth projections critical for determining the stock's valuation. Current consensus estimates show incremental revenue growth of $70 billion for fiscal year 2026, followed by $40 billion in fiscal year 2027 and $39 billion in fiscal year 2028, while a decline of $3 billion is anticipated for fiscal year 2029. The estimates for fiscal year 2030 indicate a potential revenue increase of $33 billion, suggesting that understanding the company's performance in the years leading up to 2030 is essential for investors.
$NVDA current estimates. Next year multiple of 21, makes a lot of sense. https://t.co/yACjOFx2so
I'm fascinated by the number of people that start their commentary on $NVDA with "at this multiple the valuation is reasonable". It's not a valuation question but an earnings one at this point which should be plain as day when FY26 estimates include a scenario in which the…
Consensus estimates for $NVDA are interesting. Absolute Incremental revenue YoY FY2026(+$70bn) FY2027(+$40bn) FY2028(+$39bn) FY2029(-$3bn) - 2 analysts FY2030($33bn) - 2 analysts Forward Alpha is probably in understanding what 2029-2030 could look like because the sell-side…