市場の興奮やバブルの異なる段階を示すものとしてこのチャートは使われる。過去2年間でほぼ全てのリスク資産が大きな上昇を遂げた。 2023年10月以降、S&P500は約50%上昇しており、歴史上14か月で50%上昇を記録した例はほとんどない。今は「強欲」から「幻想」の領域か?今回の相場は違うのか? https://t.co/flaQ1Pysis
Reviewing Mar 2024 observed graphics: be fearful (greedy) when others are greedy (fearful), but didn’t work for a month or so (and even then only temporarily). “Remind yourself of how good things are!”; yes, big returns YTD but today’s neutral Fear/Greed Index means what re 2025? https://t.co/3u23xY7iHD
The fear & greed index is still in greed territory after the recent correction. Do you agree, or has fear re-entered the crypto markets? 🤔 https://t.co/z73ciUGXM0

As of December 2024, the S&P 500 is trading at 22 times forward earnings, slightly below the historical highs of 24 times in December 1999 and 23 times in August 2020. The top 10 stocks within the S&P 500 have seen their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio surge to 30 times, marking one of the highest valuations since the Dot-Com Bubble in 2000 and the pre-bear market period in 2021. In contrast, the S&P 500 excluding these top 10 stocks has a P/E ratio of 19 times. Despite recent market corrections, the Fear and Greed Index remains in the 'greed' territory, indicating a prevailing sense of optimism among investors, although some analysts suggest caution as the market may be entering a phase of 'illusion' following significant gains in risk assets over the past two years, particularly a 50% rise in the S&P 500 since October 2023, a rare occurrence in a 14-month span.

