
As of October 21, the S&P 500 futures (ES) are experiencing a notable imbalance phase, with the daily timeframe maintaining a balance between 5925 and 5850. The market closed inside the weekly value area (VA) with significant attention on prior week value area high (VAH) and value area low (VAL). The weekly VA levels are noted at 5886.5 to 581.25, indicating a critical threshold for monitoring market movements. Additionally, dealer gamma exposure has reached $11.8 billion, placing it in the 94th percentile year-to-date, suggesting a strong passive support of approximately 700 ES futures bought per $1 decline. This high gamma concentration, particularly on Mondays, may lead to increased market volatility. The call to put gamma ratio stands at 1.10, with a gamma flip level identified at 5837. Recent trading activity shows that the price hit gamma levels at 5975 before declining to 5866, where it stabilized, indicating dynamic market conditions influenced by dealer hedging strategies.
speaking of MM gamma hedging; they have 95% of the annual gamma purchased already this year, so we are at tippy tops. When market makers gamma hedge levels like they did today around 5825 SPX, 5865 ES, that is a day trade. You do get that right? It's not a shift in anything.…
h/t @OptionsDepth for SPX path of least resistance, low gamma trough.... 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 you know we all have our eyes 👀 on them peaks - when it's the valleys that the market makers use to delta hedge.
$ES -- Let me see if I can show you this so you understand. The price hit our gamma levels at 5975 and broke it at which time Dealer participating in short gamma flush down to Daily 2 at 5866 and stopped on a dime; but notice that the 1 Hour time between 10:00 am and 11:00 am… https://t.co/6rN0U4VRZq









