In early August 2025, the U.S. stock market exhibited weakening breadth despite the S&P 500 index ($SPX) hovering near its highs. By August 5, fewer stocks were trading above their 5-, 20-, and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), indicating a decline in short-term market breadth. Half of the S&P 500 constituents had fallen below their 50-day SMA, although the index itself remained about 3% above that level. On August 7, advancers dropped to 44%, with only 46.7% of stocks holding above their 20-day SMA, leading to a neutral breadth trend rating. Market breadth showed some signs of recovery by August 11, with advancers rising to 53.8% and heavy losses easing to 3.3%, but the short-term trend remained cautious. The advance-decline ratio favored declines at 1:2, reflecting ongoing underlying weakness. Mega-cap stocks, including Apple ($AAPL) and Microsoft ($MSFT), continued to outperform and supported the market, while energy and materials sectors led the downside early in the week. Small- and mid-cap ETFs such as $IWO, $IWM, $RSP, $QQEW, and $TRAN lagged behind, suggesting a divergence between large-cap leadership and broader market participation. Overall, despite the S&P 500 maintaining its level near 6400, market breadth indicated a cautious environment with potential for choppy trading ahead.
The stock market's breadth is deteriorating. $IWO $IWM $RSP $QQEW $TRAN lagging Mega-caps holding up $NDX $SPX The cavalry gets taken out first and the generals get shot in the end.
$SPX back under 6400 but holding up. Choppy for the overall market while mega caps are leading the charge. If this continues, we can see dips supported and the trend follow through. Energy and materials leading the downside to start the week while mega caps and tech outperform. https://t.co/Us4cl4bkhN
Mid Session Update 🤝 $SPX holding up back to 6400 here. 6420-30 resistance above if it breaks. Below 6380 fades back in the range. Mega caps holding up very well today. This was a key observation / theme from our weekly prep to look for. So far we're seeing it. $AAPL $MSFT