
Despite a sell-off on October 31, 2024, the S&P 500 ($SPX) has recorded its best performance for an election year at the end of October, achieving a gain of 19.6%. A total of 79 stocks within the index reached new all-time monthly closing highs, with 11 stocks marking their best month of the year. Notably, Edison International ($ETR) saw a 17% increase, its best month ever, while Raymond James Financial ($RJF) surged by 21%, the highest since March 2009. November is historically a strong month for equities, with many analysts predicting continued positive performance. The Russell 2000 ($IWM) has averaged a 4.3% gain in November over the past decade, and semiconductor stocks have also shown an average return of 8.1%. Tesla ($TSLA) has a 71% success rate in November over the past 15 years, with an average return of 9.8%. Overall, November is anticipated to continue the upward trend seen in October, with analysts highlighting its historical significance as the best month for stock performance, particularly in election years.
November tends to be a strong month for the NASDAQ, per @Refinitiv https://t.co/5IXgMifZGq
Since SPDR sector ETF inception in 1998 (except $XLRE 2015 & $XLC 2018) $XLB is the best performer in November with avg 3.7% gain. All sectors bar $XLU gain at least 1.5%. Over the same period November is also the best month for $SPX at +2.2%: https://t.co/fXCyzA69mU
"October in an election year is the worst month," says Carson Group's @RyanDetrick on seasonality. "11 of the last 12 years, stocks were higher in November. Since 1950: the best month. The last 10 years: the best month. In an election year, it's the best month. https://t.co/AAG3khdSp7





