The S&P 500 Index has experienced a strong rally in recent weeks, rising more than 18% over the past 35 trading days. In May 2025 alone, the index advanced by approximately 6.4%, marking the best May performance since at least 2009 and the best month since November 2023. Over the past year, gold has gained 40.4%, outperforming the S&P 500's 11.6% increase. Despite this recent surge, some equity analysts remain cautious, noting that May has historically been a weak month for S&P 500 returns. Additionally, over the last 20 days, the S&P 500 has consistently outperformed models based on global assets correlated to risk sentiment, with cumulative outperformance ranging from approximately 2.66% to 5.61% during this period.
The S&P 500 loves May! Now up 12 of the last 13 instances, including this month's 6.4% advance. $SPY Actually the best May since at least 2009, best month since November 2023. https://t.co/qr0jwPQbHO
Maio emplaca mais um mês de ganhos para ativos de risco https://t.co/iIdV1eT5RQ
Over the last 20 days, we have generally seen the S&P index outperform the signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment. The S&P has outperformed the model by +4.19% cumulatively during the period. https://t.co/kF9yaIV2zJ