U.S. equity markets saw notable swings ahead of the long holiday weekend, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) gapping down over 100 points on May 23, 2025, following a post-options expiration dip and tariff-related headlines. The SPX tested and briefly dropped below its 200-day moving average, tagging an intraday low of 575.60, with the 200-day SMA at $575.72. The index was down as much as 1.5% intraday, later narrowing losses to 0.3%. Key support levels included 5722, 5700, and 5660, while resistance and rebound targets were cited at 5800, 5850, and 5900. SPY also tested its 200-day moving average and found support at 580, with the gap pivot at 577. ES futures retested the Daily 1 (Close) level at 5889.50 and Quarterly 1 support at 5831.25-5835.50. The SPX has advanced roughly 25% over the past month, and analysts observed that as long as support above 5,750 holds, a move toward 6,000 remains possible. A break below 5660 could indicate a more bearish shift. Volatility measures, including the VIX and options implied volatility, remained elevated. The June 5600 SPX put saw increased volatility, and demand for short-dated out-of-the-money puts persisted across indices, reflecting ongoing hedging activity. The SPX 8ema acted as resistance, and the MACD was curling down, suggesting momentum was slowing. The Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and QQQ ETF experienced active trading, with QQQ rebounding from lows at 505.14 and 510.50, and the 38% retrace level at 505.35. Options activity focused on short-dated calls and put spreads. Market structure indicated consolidation, with bulls aiming to reclaim higher levels and bears monitoring for further breakdowns.
$ES_F 60. It could have been worse. Things don't really get bearish until below 5660. Each time, the effect of the tariff surprise get weaker. Corrective move in an uptrend still seems likely. https://t.co/kYlWkrYmfH
$ES_60. It could have been worse. Things don't really get bearish until below 5660. Each time, the effect of the tariff surprise get weaker. Corrective move in an uptrend still seems likely. https://t.co/6ch3uPUKkh
$spy did break the 8day last Tuesday. There always time to adjust.