
According to cross-asset models from ExanteData, the S&P 500 index has shown a pattern of underperformance relative to signals from global assets correlated with risk sentiment over the past 20 days, with a cumulative underperformance of approximately 5.64% to 5.69%. The models indicate mixed signals ahead of the New York market open, with global equities showing the most bullish signals and commodities or rates showing the least bullish. Year-to-date data reveals that the S&P 500 has underperformed all other major equity markets, as noted by Goldman Sachs. Additionally, the Smart Money Index has diverged from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a pattern last observed in October 2022, suggesting that professional investors may be reentering the market. Projections for the S&P 500 for the remainder of the year are mostly flat to down, with 7 out of 11 forecasts reflecting this view. Analysis of certain high-growth companies from 2021 shows median drawdowns around 85%, highlighting the volatility and underperformance compared to top holdings in funds like ARKK, especially during periods of market euphoria.










Did some analysis on this list from 2021. ~85% median drawdown with some absurd revenue growth misses. Compared to $ARKK top holdings the underperformance is brutal (though smaller cap companies should be more volatile). At times of relative euphoria, fade the crowd. https://t.co/puhmxz9enT https://t.co/dU29Hh16F7
S&P began the year at $5,868 so there are now 7/11 projecting flat-to-down. https://t.co/lL9VJBAxMp
Smart Money Index diverged from DJIA; last seen in Oct ’22. Correlation since then: 0.93. Suggests professionals reentering market. https://t.co/4eSBhuqLoD