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The S&P 500 index has shown a consistent underperformance relative to global assets correlated to risk sentiment over the past 20 days. As of March 13, 2025, the S&P has underperformed the model by 3.94% cumulatively during this period. This trend follows a broader pattern observed in 2025, where the S&P 500 is down 3.5% for the year. Analysts have noted that while sector correlations are returning to more normal levels, they still suggest potential for further short-term volatility in the market. Current indicators show a slight projected loss of 0.03% for the S&P ahead of the New York market open, with mixed signals from various asset classes affecting market sentiment.
Over the last 20 days, we have generally seen the S&P index underperform the signals from global assets correlated to risk sentiment. The S&P has underperformed the model by -3.94% cumulatively during the period. https://t.co/ojbrm86xNI
5 Hours ahead of the NY Open, our cross-asset model indicates a -0.03% loss for the S&P (while futures are down -0.05% since prior close). The signal from Rates is most bullish (+0.19%), while the signal from FX is least bullish (-0.09%). https://t.co/ahosDEKZxx
"Over the last 30 days, S&P sector correlations have averaged 0.74. That is still below the long run average of 0.81, and therefore still indicative of a bull market." @DataTrekMB https://t.co/L8nAQkPlM5
