S&P 500 valuation suggests 1-2% price return over next decade: BofA https://t.co/ZS0cMDDdTU https://t.co/vJxAlZbWKf
๐จS&P 500 VALUATION IMPLIES ONLY 2.9% ANNUAL RETURN OVER THE NEXT 3 YEARS๐จ Based on the current S&P 500 forward P/E ratio of 22x the estimated 3-year annualized return for stocks is just 3%. Expected returns are dismal and almost no one believes it..๐ https://t.co/538KH5BbFq
SPX 21.5x earnings. Sector valuations.. https://t.co/J2MxlW5WJM





The S&P 500 is currently experiencing high valuations, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.8x and a trailing P/E ratio of 26.58x, marking the third highest valuations in modern history, surpassed only by the peaks of 1999/2000 and 2021. Analysts predict dismal returns for the index, estimating an annualized return of merely 1% over the next decade when adjusted for inflation, with Goldman Sachs projecting a slightly higher annualized return of 3%. Furthermore, the forward 12-month P/E ratio stands at 21.3, exceeding both the 5-year average of 19.6 and the 10-year average of 18.1. Recent analysis by Bank of America suggests that the S&P 500 could yield only a 1-2% price return over the next ten years, while another estimate indicates a 3% annualized return over the next three years based on a forward P/E ratio of 22x.