“We are at [a] value of around 36x today. When looking at historical data going all the way back to 1900, the forward 10-year return for the S&P 500 was negative 84% of the time at a 36x CAPE." @CatalystMF via @Bloomberg https://t.co/UQcqS5xI1M
The S&P 500 forward P/E is now 21.8x and the trailing P/E is now 26.58x We are at the third highest valuations on the S&P 500 in modern history, only behind 1999/2000 and 2021 https://t.co/XZzEkMB4RQ
‼️THIS IS THE CRAZIEST YEAR IN THE FINANCIAL MARKETS IN MODERN HISTORY‼️ Nearly all major asset prices have been skyrocketing while most investors including US households are all in stocks. Are the markets in peak euphoria yet? Read more below👇 https://t.co/q5anbLlgUo

According to a recent analysis by Bank of America, the S&P 500 is deemed one of the most overvalued markets in history, being expensive on 19 out of 20 metrics. The Shiller Price to Earnings ratio (CAPE) is reported to be over 100% above historical averages, raising concerns about a potential stock market bubble. Despite this, the S&P 500 has experienced a significant rally, gaining over 40% since last October, with a realized volatility of approximately 12, resulting in one of the greatest risk-adjusted yearly returns in U.S. stock market history. Goldman Sachs noted that the S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 21.8x, while the trailing P/E is at 26.58x, marking the third highest valuations in modern history, following the peaks of 1999/2000 and 2021. Historical data indicates that at a CAPE of around 36x, the forward 10-year return for the S&P 500 has been negative 84% of the time, highlighting potential risks in the current market environment.



