
Bank of America (BofA) has reported that trend followers are increasing short positions in U.S. equities ahead of an impending tariff deadline. According to their analysis, short positions in the S&P 500 have reached their highest level since February 2016, while shorts in the NASDAQ-100 are at their most elevated since January 2023. Additionally, it is suggested that both short- and long-term traders are likely holding substantial shorts in the Russell 2000 index. Despite a bearish sentiment in the market, characterized by a decline in investor confidence, many traders have not significantly reduced their risk exposure or increased cash holdings. This positioning indicates a potential for a market rally if positive news regarding tariffs emerges.
The stock market's trend is currently down but with CTAs net short, hedge funds de-risked, super bearish AAII sentiment and extreme fear, the vast majority is on the same side of the boat. Any whiff of positive news on tariffs and we'll likely get a ferocious rally.
Sentiment is in the gutter so bad that many are explaining why today's green close is irrelevant. I personally have not seen sentiment deteriorate this rapid off a 10-15% correction in indices. Yes, I'm also looking for more convincing signs that a countertrend rally is near, https://t.co/cOlfI9yqpW
I'm not sure i've ever seen crypto sentiment this low. Not even after the FTX collapse. Why is everyone so depressed right now?