
The financial markets are showing signs of increased volatility and bullish sentiment as the U.S. presidential election approaches. A notable rise in the short-term VIX premium indicates growing demand for hedging, with the 9-day Volatility Index reaching its highest ratio to the 30-day VIX since March, coinciding with previous banking crisis fears. Additionally, historical trends reveal that the DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ have performed positively in 9 of the last 12 first trading days of November, with average gains over the past 21 years of +0.11%, +0.04%, and +0.13%, respectively. The NASDAQ has shown resilience, rising in 4 of the last 5 presidential election years. Analysts note that November typically exhibits a strong bullish bias, with the Russell 2000 index averaging +4.3% and semiconductor stocks averaging +8.1% gains. Furthermore, the S&P 500 has seen a significant increase of 66.21% since the last election, underscoring the strong bull market leading into the 2024 election.






The VIX ahead of the 2016 and 2020 elections https://t.co/rNv8TxagMp
Reminder from the Q4 outlook that seasonally November holds the strongest bull bias of year with 9 of last 10 years positive, led by Russell IWM up an average of +4.3% and also a top group being Semiconductors +8.1% on average. Alot of potential upside after got the flush to end…
Below is our #chartoftheweek comparing market trends in the lead-up to the 1996, 2020, and 2024 #elections, along with a table summarizing the returns and averages. - A Strong Bull Market Preceding the Election 🔵 Since the previous election: S&P 500 returns have climbed 66.21%.… https://t.co/0wkwmQrRjB