Argentina is experiencing a complex economic situation under President Javier Milei's administration. Despite being a major beef producer, the country is importing beef due to Milei's currency and trade policies, which have made sourcing supplies abroad more affordable while local prices remain high. The consolidated national debt has decreased by 4.4 percentage points of GDP since Milei took office, reaching US$247 billion or 36.1% of GDP in the first quarter of 2025, the lowest level since 2019. However, Argentina continues to face challenges in accessing international capital markets, partly due to its failure to rebuild foreign currency reserves. The bond market remains cautious, with inflation dynamics showing a lower pass-through effect than expected in July, and uncertainty persists about the evolution of the exchange rate and inflation in the coming months. Meanwhile, there have been slight increases in Treasury bills and bonds, and the futures dollar rate declined by 0.6%, with implied rates averaging 27% annually. Efforts to attract investment are ongoing, but the country has yet to successfully re-enter global capital markets.
A pesar del salto del dólar, los bonos que ajustan por devaluación no recobran protagonismo: el motivo | ✍️ Por @gzcasti | Más detalles 👇 https://t.co/feTuQhF3AQ
The bond market, at least parts of it, still pay attention to the balance of payments "Milei remains unable to tap international dollar markets. One reason investors ... is [Argentina's] failure to rebuild its foreign currency reserves." 1/ https://t.co/7jD2kyYp7o
Leves subas en las Letras y bonos del Tesoro. El dólar futuro bajó 0,6% con tasas implícitas en 27% anual promedio. La visión del staff del FMI, la volatilidad y el traspaso a metas de inflación. Leé la nota de @GuillermoLabord. Exclusivo para Members: https://t.co/2Yyi8jLTdP https://t.co/66fFBbuCkk