Centene Corporation withdrew its 2025 earnings guidance following an early analysis of data from the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace that revealed higher morbidity rates and slower growth than anticipated. This led to a reduction in net risk adjustment revenue by approximately $1.8 billion, resulting in an estimated $2.75 per share earnings hit. The health insurer's shares plunged sharply, falling as much as 40% at one point, marking their largest single-day drop since 2006 and closing at an eight-year low. The revenue pressure primarily stemmed from Centene's ACA marketplace plans, with slower growth observed across 22 states. The withdrawal of guidance also triggered downgrades from Wall Street analysts, including JPMorgan, which lowered its rating on Centene shares from overweight to neutral and cut its price target from $75 to $48. The selloff extended to other managed care stocks such as Humana, Cigna, Oscar Health, and Molina Healthcare, which declined in sympathy. Centene's Medicaid business and rising healthcare costs have also been cited as ongoing challenges contributing to the company's financial difficulties.
$OSCR UBS Downgrades to Sell PT $11 Recent developments in the Public Health Insurance Exchanges drive us to be more conservative in our assessment of the Exchanges. We now expect OSCR's Exchange enrollment to decline at least 30% (prior 18%) in 2026E when the enhanced subsidies
UBS Downgrades $OSCR to Sell from Neutral, Lowers PT to $11 from $15 Analyst comments: "Recent developments in the Public Health Insurance Exchanges drive us to be more conservative in our assessment of the Exchanges. We now expect Oscar Health's Exchange enrollment to decline
$OSCR | 𝐎𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐫 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐡 (OSCR): UBS 𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐒𝐞𝐥𝐥, 𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐏𝐓 𝐭𝐨 $𝟏𝟏 (𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 $𝟏𝟓) Analyst warns of 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐧𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭, subsidy rollbacks, and 𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐌𝐋𝐑 as headwinds for OSCR in the Public Exchange https://t.co/NFIoOXuOBX