Banks are facing significant financial stress as evidenced by the recent FDIC report, which highlights the ninth consecutive quarter of unusually high unrealized losses since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in the first quarter of 2022. The FDIC report indicates that banks have accumulated $517 billion in losses, primarily due to interest rate-related issues. These losses have persisted for a couple of years and are slightly lower than those reported in the fourth quarter of 2023. Regional banks, such as Valley National and Bank OZK, are particularly vulnerable, with warnings of imminent collapse related to commercial real estate (CRE) loans. The situation is exacerbated by worsening unrealized losses on banks' balance sheets, increasing loan nonperformance, falling credit demand, and the approaching due dates for emergency loans.
Unrealized losses on banks' balance sheets are getting worse, and we're three months closer to when all of their emergency loans come due, and the consumer is in worse shape, and credit demand is falling, and loan nonperformance is up, and... https://t.co/FBC8mtdIjQ
One, maybe 2 regional banks are about to collapse. Look at Valley National, look at bank OZK. These things are in trouble. The stocks are warning of an imminent crisis related to CRE loans. Somewhat contained to these banks though, not talking larger crisis.
Regional banks all on the edge of a cliff.