DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
Download on the App Store
Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.
Jun 13, 09:33 AM
Bitcoin Hits Record-Low Volatility Versus Gold and S&P 500, Signaling Maturation and Potential Breakout Amid Market Risks
Economics
Markets
Business
Crypto

Bitcoin Hits Record-Low Volatility Versus Gold and S&P 500, Signaling Maturation and Potential Breakout Amid Market Risks

Authors
  • Bob Elliott
  • Mike McGlone
  • Swan
3

Bitcoin has reached a milestone of record-low annual volatility compared to gold, indicating a maturation phase for the cryptocurrency that could signal an end to its period of outsized gains. Bitcoin's 60-day volatility relative to the S&P 500 has also hit a historic low, while its price remains near an all-time high against the stock index, suggesting potential for a market reversion favoring gold. The current subdued risk metrics for Bitcoin versus both gold and the S&P 500 imply possible breakout scenarios, though Bitcoin's future appreciation may be more gradual and institutional in nature. Meanwhile, parallels between the S&P 500 market cap stretching to twice the US GDP and the 1929 market conditions highlight a risk of deflationary downturns, potentially shifting market burdens onto Bitcoin. Since 2008, the S&P 500 Total Return Index has experienced only two down years, both severe, reinforcing concerns about equity market normalization. Over the past four years, gold has outperformed Bitcoin as an asset, offering similar returns since early 2021 but with significantly lower monthly volatility, smaller drawdowns, and a much lower correlation to stocks (14% for gold versus nearly 60% for Bitcoin). This data underscores gold's relative stability compared to Bitcoin amid evolving market conditions.

Written with ChatGPT (GPT-4).

Additional media

Image #1 for story bitcoin-hits-record-low-volatility-versus-gold-s-p-500-signaling-maturation-amid-b29b98df
Image #2 for story bitcoin-hits-record-low-volatility-versus-gold-s-p-500-signaling-maturation-amid-b29b98df
Image #3 for story bitcoin-hits-record-low-volatility-versus-gold-s-p-500-signaling-maturation-amid-b29b98df
Image #4 for story bitcoin-hits-record-low-volatility-versus-gold-s-p-500-signaling-maturation-amid-b29b98df
Image #5 for story bitcoin-hits-record-low-volatility-versus-gold-s-p-500-signaling-maturation-amid-b29b98df