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Top stories

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Lifts Q3 US Growth Estimate to 3.5%

Authors

14

5 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

5 months ago

Alibaba Shares Jump as Cloud Sales Surge and Home-Grown AI Chip Emerges

Company Earnings

Alibaba Shares Jump as Cloud Sales Surge and Home-Grown AI Chip Emerges

Authors

34

5 months ago

South Korea Plans 8.1% Budget Rise to 728 Trillion Won, 232 Trillion Won Bonds, 4% Deficit, AI Growth Under Lee Jae Myung

Authors

7

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

Authors

44

5 months ago

India GDP Rises 7.8%, Smashing Forecasts on Public-Spending Surge

Authors

18

5 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Staff Cuts Force EIA to Delay Uranium and Outlook Reports

Authors

3

5 months ago

US Foreign Policy

UN Security Council Sets 2026 Exit Date for Lebanon Peacekeepers

Authors

25

5 months ago

Prediction markets for US

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

772979286

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Tulsi Gabbard

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Mark Kelly

No 2028 Election

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Raphael Warnock

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

23

19

17

6

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

120673423

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

55

26

15

2

1

1

1

1

0

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.87%chance

555495774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3519

1108

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

22.56%chance

284450573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158864

75127

EIA projection for US BEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

12179809

OptionProbability

9 - 10.59%

10.6 - 12.89%

7.0 - 8.99%

0 - 6.99%

12.9 - 100%

35

25

22

9

9

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

May 27, 9:10 PMDec 31, 7:11 PM

32.81%chance

6762104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

949

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

12858319

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

59

40

1

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

55.13%chance

13957603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11535

8513

Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM

75%chance

13433316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10400

7578

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.71%chance

6526346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2025

1844

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.6%chance

11822685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4012

1368

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

69.77%chance

116660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15043

6736

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6 months ago
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War
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6
6 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
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India
Economics
Stocks
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10
6 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
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Russia
Infosec
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6
6 months ago
Aug 19, 2025
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Energy
Business
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Woodside Seeks Partner With 20–30% Sale in $17.5 B Louisiana LNG Project
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4
6 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
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Russia
War
US Foreign Policy
Trump Says First Lady Melania's Letter to Putin, Expressing Love for Children and Desire to End War, Was Well Received
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7
6 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
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Pakistan
Economics
Business
Pakistani Rupee Edges to 282.02 per Dollar on Modest Buying
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3
6 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
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Ukraine
War
US Foreign Policy
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7
6 months ago

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