🧵 1/4 Really cool: @EpochAIResearch 's GATE model simulates economic impacts of AI automation. more compute -> better AI systems -> increased task automation -> economic growth -> more investment in AI https://t.co/ymXqsbGGPh
Epoch AI's GATE model forecasts AI-driven economic growth, predicting 30% annual increases and full automation by the 2040s. The model highlights a feedback loop where AI automation boosts growth, leading to trillion-dollar infrastructure investments, even under conservative https://t.co/jyq33hbwsj https://t.co/b3u8XlXcRa
This is very interesting work by @EpochAIResearch on the impact of AI scaling and automation on growth. https://t.co/51NEkDWbfg
Recent research from EpochAI has unveiled the GATE model, which predicts substantial economic growth driven by AI scaling and automation. The model forecasts annual growth rates of 30% and anticipates full automation by the 2040s. This growth is expected to be supported by trillion-dollar infrastructure investments. The findings suggest a feedback loop where advancements in AI lead to increased task automation, which in turn stimulates further economic growth and investment in AI technologies. The research aligns with recent capability forecasts from METR, particularly regarding the timelines for achieving high accuracy in AI systems and their convergence with full automation estimates.