The US 10-year Treasury note yield started the week below 4.5% with a focus on upcoming key economic data releases including CPI, PPI, retail sales, and industrial production numbers to assess inflation and economic strength. Recent reports indicate a potential fall in the yield to 4.40% in three months and 4.25% in six months, compared to previous polls. Despite a hot PPI report, the yields have dipped, possibly due to downward revisions of prior reports and uncertainty. Traders are eagerly awaiting inflation data to gain further insights.
10-Year Treasury yields are down - currently @ 4.367% Getting there.
10-Year Treasury yields are down - currently @ 4.371% Getting there.
#TreasuriesToday: Yields down 2bp-3bp at week's lows. 5Y & 10Y are below 50-day averages for 1st time since March. $125b coupon settlement ($17.3b net). Pre-CPI, swaps price in 44bp of Fed easing in 2024, earliest September. 6bp is priced in for July, still a popular call.