US equity valuations are currently elevated across major indices, with the S&P 500 trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 22x, surpassing its 20-year median of around 16x. The Nasdaq 100 exhibits an even higher valuation at 27x, while the Russell 2000 stands at 24x. These multiples are above their respective historical averages, with the S&P 500's forward P/E exceeding its five-year average of 19.9 and ten-year average of 18.4. Even the equal-weighted S&P 500 index trades at a lower but still elevated 17x earnings. The world stock market capitalization to global GDP ratio has reached 117%, marking the second-highest level ever recorded and exceeding the peak seen during the 2000 Dot-Com bubble. Additionally, US investors have allocated a record 53% of their financial assets to stocks, surpassing the previous peak of 51% during the Dot-Com era, while cash allocations are at historic lows. These data points indicate that global and US equity markets are priced at levels that reflect optimistic expectations.
โผ๏ธUS stocks have almost NEVER been this expensive: The S&P 500 Forward P/E ratio hit 22x, above its 20-year median of ~16x. The Nasdaq 100 P/E sits at 27x, also well above the median. The Russell 2000 multiple reached 24x. https://t.co/qnqZTJbGCQ
โ ๏ธInvestors have NEVER held more US stocks: US households, mutual funds, pension funds, and foreign investors' financial allocation to stocks hit a RECORD 53%. This is even larger than at the Dot-Com Bubble peak of 51%. At the same time, cash allocation is at an all-time low https://t.co/j4DTJ3oxuy
S&P 500 sector valuations coming into the week. Not your father's P/E https://t.co/aDay8ZYCTh