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Top stories

German Business Outlook Improves While Consumer Confidence Slides Again

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Alps

Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?

Sep 24, 1:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.16%chance

13272522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14337

10516

If I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?

Dec 2, 4:27 AMJan 2, 5:04 AM

81.06%chance

6510347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2069

483

Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026?

Apr 9, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.36%chance

56006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2897

345

Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?

Feb 28, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.44%chance

233989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2852

33

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

13.99%chance

261974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1866

774

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

54.82%chance

191736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

458

Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?

Jul 19, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.64%chance

291413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

948

Will the Alphabet and Microsoft market cap differ by at least a factor of 3 in 2030?

Feb 17, 3:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.81%chance

311250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1356

711

Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?

Sep 8, 3:56 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

69.37%chance

16502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

712

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Alphabet Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 2.0

2.0 - 2.5

2.5 - 3.0

3.0 - 3.5

3.5-4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Germany
Switzerland
Economics
German Business Outlook Improves While Consumer Confidence Slides Again
Authors
8
1 year ago

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