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Prediction markets for Avila

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

935

Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?

Aug 2, 2:02 AMDec 28, 11:59 PM

32%chance

351535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

989

Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?

Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM

5%chance

141141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1127

963

Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)

Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30995

OptionProbability

2030s

2020s

2040s

2050s

2060s

Other

65

17

17

0

0

0

Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?

Dec 19, 4:37 AMJul 5, 6:59 AM

80.96%chance

10193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1093

963

I want to submit my PhD thesis this year. Can you recommend or offer a personalised coaching “guideline” to get it done?

Aug 4, 12:42 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM

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