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Prediction markets for Avila
Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?
Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.62%chance
224037
OptionVotes
1437
935
Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?
Aug 2, 2:02 AMDec 28, 11:59 PM
32%chance
351535
OptionVotes
995
989
Estimated timeline for lab-cultured meat in grocery stores within the next few decades? (Previously asked question)
Dec 21, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
331345
OptionProbability
60
38
2
0
0
0
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
Aug 4, 4:16 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM
5%chance
141141
OptionVotes
1127
963
OptionVotes
1093
963
I want to submit my PhD thesis this year. Can you recommend or offer a personalised coaching “guideline” to get it done?
Aug 4, 12:42 PMAug 4, 10:59 PM
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