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Top stories

Tech Founder Ethan Agarwal Enters 2026 California Governor Race

Tech Founder Ethan Agarwal Enters 2026 California Governor Race

Authors

6

3 months ago

SFACC and SF SPCA Waive Adoption Fees Through August 24 Amid National Dog Day and Rising Drug Tourism Concerns

SFACC and SF SPCA Waive Adoption Fees Through August 24 Amid National Dog Day and Rising Drug Tourism Concerns

Authors

7

3 months ago

Democrats Escalate Campaign Against Trump’s ‘Big Ugly Bill’ Cuts

US Domestic Policy

Democrats Escalate Campaign Against Trump’s ‘Big Ugly Bill’ Cuts

Authors

3

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

San Francisco Adds Homeless-Reporting Feature to 311 App as Bay Area Tightens Response

Authors

4

3 months ago

Bay FC Sets NWSL Attendance Record With 40,091 Fans at Oracle Park in 3-2 Loss to Washington Spirit

Authors

11

3 months ago

Natural Disasters

Heat Wave Hits Western U.S. With 110s in Southern California, Record 92°F Low in Phoenix, Wildfire Risk, and Hospitalizations

Authors

14

4 months ago

BART Launches Tap & Ride Contactless Payment System August 20 With No Registration Required

Authors

11

4 months ago

Tesla Hiring Autopilot Operators in Queens as It Eyes NYC Robotaxi Expansion Without Permits, Rivaling Waymo and Expanding to India

Authors

19

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Bay Area

Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]

Dec 10, 10:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

97.75%chance

2112359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6592

152

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

11911172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

1824

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

64.35%chance

607115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13407

7472

Will I be the subject of a Craigslist Missed Connection in the Bay Area before the end of 2025?

Jun 13, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.23%chance

184643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2560

391

Frontier Valley breaks ground in the Bay Area by EOY2026?

Jul 3, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.13%chance

61129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1639

610

Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA revenue goals by 2030 ($683M/y)

Jan 6, 6:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.85%chance

8432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

50

Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in The Bay Area

Nov 6, 4:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87.18%chance

9322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

105

When will I leave the Bay Area?

Mar 25, 5:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5269

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025-06-25 to 2025-12-31

29

17

15

15

15

9

Will I move to the Bay area by the end of 2026?

May 20, 5:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will "Contra Ngo et al. “Every ‘Every Bay Area Hous..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Feb 23, 10:04 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

4%chance

2126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

61

J moves to the Bay Area by EOY2025?

May 20, 2:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will SF Bay area water have higher microplastic contamination in 2028 than in 2026?

Jan 22, 10:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

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