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Prediction markets for Biden White House
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15951112
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
96
84
83
83
82
82
80
79
79
78
77
77
77
76
76
76
75
74
73
72
72
71
71
70
70
69
69
69
69
66
65
65
64
64
64
62
62
62
61
57
57
55
55
52
50
50
50
49
48
46
46
45
45
45
45
45
44
44
44
42
40
37
37
36
35
32
32
31
29
28
27
27
27
23
22
19
18
18
17
16
16
14
14
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
8
8
7
7
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
100
99
96
81
80
77
75
74
73
69
69
67
66
61
60
57
54
52
51
50
50
50
48
46
46
46
43
41
36
35
35
34
34
34
31
28
27
27
26
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
13
13
10
9
1
1
Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?
Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM
4.35%chance
3210093
OptionVotes
2828
218
Will Joe Biden ever be formally diagnosed with Parkinson's?
Jul 8, 6:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
11.96%chance
206163
OptionVotes
2714
369
When will Biden publicly say the term 'AGI' (or 'Artificial General Intelligence')?
Mar 31, 6:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 PM
360
OptionProbability
76
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
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