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Prediction markets for Bryan
How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?
Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
56.06%chance
230167258
OptionProbability
5059
4362
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM
5.88%chance
19270680
OptionVotes
5587
1699
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
31%chance
2812349
OptionVotes
1089
645
Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?
Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM
1%chance
387936
OptionVotes
2753
1145
OptionVotes
1343
740
OptionProbability
1050
828
Will Bryan Johnson (the tech billionaire) succeed in his longevity pursuit?
Nov 2, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.48%chance
301448
OptionVotes
1193
906
Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
54.67%chance
8555
OptionVotes
1098
911
Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?
Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
38.9%chance
3261
OptionVotes
1253
798
OptionVotes
1086
953
Will Bryan Johnson test the functional age of his T cells/ hepatocytes via functional assays by 2028? (#NewLimit)
May 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.36%chance
150
OptionVotes
1048
954
Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?
Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
51.48%chance
230
OptionVotes
1030
971
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