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Prediction markets for Bunnings
OptionProbability
70
6
6
5
4
4
4
OptionProbability
190
183
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.74%chance
192320
OptionVotes
2405
416
Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?
May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
74.23%chance
181680
OptionVotes
1697
589
By 2026, will I regret learning a bunch of math/physics as opposed to focusing more on AI?
Jan 2, 12:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55.73%chance
181067
OptionVotes
1273
648
Will at least 16 AI x-risk researchers move to doomsday bunkers in the Southern Hemisphere by 2026-01-01?
Nov 14, 8:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.37%chance
21865
OptionVotes
1562
876
Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM
63%chance
7305
OptionVotes
1305
766
How many months after my last buzz cut will I be able to put my hair in a proper bun?
Nov 17, 2:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
9243
OptionProbability
392
386
Player breaks Lewandowski's scoring record next Bundesliga season?
May 26, 1:17 AMMay 25, 1:16 AM
10%chance
1200
OptionVotes
300
33
Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before the Legend of Zelda Movie (Nintendo)?
Dec 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.63%chance
12200
OptionVotes
1049
958
Which team will be the next 1. Bundesliga newcomer (after Holstein Kiel)?
May 23, 1:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
2100
OptionProbability
14
13
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
Detroit LVT: Will the city acquire a bunch of blighted properties it can't afford to tear down? (2028)
Oct 13, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
59.02%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62