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Prediction markets for Cali
OptionVotes
125148
3456
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61182853
OptionProbability
74
24
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?
Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48109764
OptionProbability
39
29
23
9
OptionProbability
65
64
47
28
16
6
Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Jan 29, 6:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.37%chance
4218103
OptionVotes
1660
390
Will Jamie Joyce win the 2026 12th California Congressional district race?
Jun 18, 9:02 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM
2.45%chance
1516105
OptionVotes
7292
427
OptionVotes
2203
336
OptionVotes
4842
207
If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?
Aug 29, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.28%chance
162595
OptionVotes
2673
374
Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?
Jan 14, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
27.55%chance
321797
OptionVotes
1675
230
California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54%chance
111074
OptionVotes
1110
946
How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.01%chance
2172
OptionVotes
2772
2450
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