Caucasus News

Iran’s President Pezeshkian Signs Ten Agreements in Armenia, Opposes US Corridor, Meets Lukashenko to Boost Military Cooperation

6 months ago

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Politics

Armenia and Azerbaijan Lead Eight-Nation Push to Nominate Trump for 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

5 months ago

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

Control over Nagorno-Karabakh in 2035

Sep 15, 9:38 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

91499

OptionProbability

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population expelled/killed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population moderately repressed

Controlled by Azerbaijan; Armenian population mostly not repressed

Other

In active armed conflict

Independent state recognized by relevant parties

Part of Armenia recognized by relevant parties

Under foreign or international control / protection

Contested, under pressure by (some of) its neighbors

Contested but mostly peaceful

Next renaming of a major city in Russia?

Jun 10, 4:21 PMJan 1, 5:11 PM

7415

OptionProbability

City in Europe annexed and renamed

Volgograd → Stalingrad

Other

City in Caucasus annexed and renamed

City in Central Asia annexed and renamed

No city renamed before 2050

St Petersburg → Putingrad or similar

St Petersburg → Leningrad

St Petersburg → Petrograd

Moscow → any new name

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 9:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

815

397

Will the European Wildcat (Felis silvestris) become extinct in the current century?

Apr 25, 7:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.11%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

764

400

Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?

Aug 10, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

7131

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will territory change hands between Georgia (in the Caucasus) and separatists/Russia before Sep 2026

Aug 22, 8:20 AMAug 31, 9:59 PM

34.26%chance

9128

OptionVotes

YES

183

127

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Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Control over Nagorno-Karabakh in 2035

Next renaming of a major city in Russia?

Will the Northern Raccoon, aka Common Raccoon (Procyon lotor) become extinct in the current century?

Will the European Wildcat (Felis silvestris) become extinct in the current century?

Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?

Will territory change hands between Georgia (in the Caucasus) and separatists/Russia before Sep 2026

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