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Prediction markets for Central African
OptionProbability
19
19
10
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
97
96
96
96
95
94
91
90
90
89
87
86
86
85
85
85
84
83
82
80
80
80
78
76
75
72
71
70
66
66
60
60
60
59
58
55
54
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
47
46
46
45
45
45
44
42
42
39
38
38
38
37
36
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
30
30
30
30
28
28
28
28
27
25
24
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
9
8
8
7
5
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
OptionVotes
1022
960
Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
OptionVotes
1308
596
Will any new country adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
OptionVotes
1359
859
Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?
OptionVotes
1405
531
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
OptionProbability
100
67
59
55
54
51
43
41
41
41
23
23
OptionProbability
28
21
19
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
Will any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
OptionVotes
309
184
Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
OptionProbability
21
18
18
18
12
12
Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?
OptionProbability
21
21
21
21
15
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
13


